Risk Calculator
Assess risk of ruin, optimal strategies, and long-term projections
Risk Parameters
5.0% of bankroll
Win ratio (e.g., 1.0 = even money)
Higher = more volatile results
Risk Analysis Results
Very Low Risk
Risk of Ruin
0.0%
Chance of losing bankroll
Target Probability
0.0%
Chance of reaching $500 profit
Expected Value
$0.00
Per bet
Optimal Bet Size
$0.00
Kelly Criterion recommendation
Safety Margin
0%
Bankroll protection level
Drawdown Risk
0.0%
Maximum expected decline
Time to Ruin
Immediate
If negative edge
Risk Management Recommendations
Risk Factors Explanation
Key Risk Metrics
Risk of Ruin: Probability of losing your entire bankroll
Expected Value: Average profit/loss per bet
Variance: Measure of result volatility
Drawdown Risk: Maximum expected losing streak
Risk Mitigation
• Keep bet sizes under 5% of bankroll
• Only bet with positive expected value
• Set stop-loss limits
• Track performance regularly
• Consider Kelly Criterion for optimal sizing
• Account for game variance